000			03880cam a2200409 i 4500
001			118726
005			20230410103813.0
008			111114s2011 dcu 001 0 eng c
035			_a17045428
010			_a 2011045903
020			_a9780870032646 (cloth : alkaline paper)
020			_a9780870032639 (paperback : alkaline paper)
040			_aICU/DLC _beng _cICU _erda _dDLC
041			_aEng
042			_apcc
043			_ae-ru---
050	1	4	_a338 DK 510.76 _bR969 2011
082	0	0	_a303.4947
245	0	0	_aRussia in 2020 : _bscenarios for the future / _cMaria Lipman, Nikolay Petrov, editors.
246	3		_aRussia in two thousand twenty.
264		1	_aWashington DC : _bCarnegie Endowment for International Peace, _c[2011].
300			_axvii, 685 pages ; _c24 cm.
336			_atext _2rdacontent
337			_aunmediated _2rdamedia
338			_avolume _2rdacarrier
504			_aIncludes bibliographical references and index.
505	0		_aRussia in the world. Russia and the world / Thomas Graham ; Russia in world-systems perspective / Georgi Derluguian and Immanuel Wallerstein ; Russia's foreign policy outlook / Dmitri Trenin ; Russia's place in the world of unintended consequences, or Murphy's Law and order / Fyodor Lukyanov ; Russia and the new "transitional Europe" / Arkady Moshes ; The South Caucasus in 2020 / Tom de Waal -- Political economy and economics. The "third cycle": is Russia headed back to the future? / Kirill Rogov ; Russia's political economy: the next decade / Daniel Treisman ; The Russian economy through 2020: the challenge of managing rent addiction / Clifford Gaddy and Barry W. Ickles ; The Russian economy in limbo / Vladimir Milov -- Political system. Institution building and "institutional traps" in Russian politics / Vladimir Gelman ; Transition as a political institution: toward 2020 / Richard Sakwa ; Can the machine come to life?: prospects for Russia's party system in 2020 / Henry Hale ; Scenarios for the evolution of the Russian political party system / Boris Makarenko -- State. The excessive role of a weak Russian state / Nikolay Petrov ; Center-periphery relations / Robert Orttung ; The continuing revolution in Russian military affairs: toward 2020 / Pavel Baev ; The armed forces in 2020: modern or Soviet? / Alexander Golts -- Regions. Russia's regions and cities: scenarios for 2020 / Natalia Zubarevich ; Political systems in the Russian regions in 2020 / Aleksandr Kynev ; 2020: the last chance for the North Caucasus? / Aleksey Malashenko -- Society and civil society. Society, politics, and the search for community in Russia / Samuel Greene ; The inertia of passive adaptation / Lev Gudkov ; Between nomenklatura and elites / Nikolay Petrov ; The evolution of civic activeness / Jens Siegert -- Ideology and culture. Russia and the new "Russian world" / Igor Zevelev ; Runet space / Aleksey Sidorenko.
651		0	_aRussia (Federation) _xForecasting.
520			_aAs Vladimir Putin prepares to return to the presidency in the 2012 elections, the prospects for Russia's future are unclear. Russia in 2020 brings together leading experts to analyze the possible scenarios for Russia's development in the next decade and the risks that lie ahead. Despite Putin's eminent return, the authors believe that the so-called Putin Era is over. This does not mean that Putin will soon give up power, but the political and economic system he created is incapable of dealing with Russia's rapidly changing conditions. Crises are likely unavoidable unless Russia changes and modernizes.
651		0	_aRussia (Federation) _xPolitics and government _y21st century _xForecasting.
651		4	_aRusia _xPolítica y gobierno _ySiglo XXI.
700	1		_aLipman, Mariëiìa.
700	1		_aPetrov, Nikolaæi _q(Nikolaæi Vladimirovich)
942			_2lcc _cbk
985			_aICUCIP _d2011-11-15
946			_adpf
999			_c26119 _d26119